Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1982 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
65%
18%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1982 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 3
AZA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |