Ajax vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 2
FOR
89%
9%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
GLA
0 - 1
AJA
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 4
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
REN
1 - 0
AUX
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 0
AUX
23%
28%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 3
MET
63%
23%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
LHA
0 - 2
AUX
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
GCZ
3 - 1
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |