Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Ajax vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
AJA
2 - 1
RKC
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
RJC
1 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
VOL
0 - 0
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
AUX
4 - 2
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
PSV
2 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
CAE
2 - 1
AUX
37%
27%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
31%
30%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
AUX
4 - 2
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
AUX
2 - 0
MPL
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |