Europa League 1/16
Global 2-2
Ajax vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
6 - 1
RJC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
0 - 0
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
TEL
1 - 4
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
OLY
1 - 1
ANT
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
ANT
2 - 0
LIE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
ANT
1 - 0
STR
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
ANT
1 - 0
KSV
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
CER
1 - 0
ANT
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |