Europa League Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 5-0
Ajax vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AND
0 - 3
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KVC
2 - 0
AND
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AND
0 - 3
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AND
1 - 0
CER
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AND
2 - 0
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
KVM
0 - 0
AND
20%
25%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |