Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 1
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 2
GAE
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
ENS
2 - 1
AJA
45%
23%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
DWS
2 - 1
TEL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
SIT
1 - 1
DWS
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1964 |
DWS
3 - 1
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
DWS
3 - 1
VVD
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 2
DWS
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |