Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ENS
2 - 0
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
VVD
71%
16%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
18%
18%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 1
DVO
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
DWS
1 - 1
VOL
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MVV
0 - 0
DWS
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 2
FCB
52%
22%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
DWS
2 - 2
ENS
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 2
DWS
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |