Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
28%
20%
52%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
28%
21%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 1
AZA
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 0
RAP
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
DWS
2 - 2
PSV
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FEY
2 - 0
DWS
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
DWS
1 - 3
VVV
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 2
DWS
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 2
DWS
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |