Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
OMO
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
NEC
0 - 3
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
ADO
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
WIL
0 - 0
ADO
38%
26%
35%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 1
MVV
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |