Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
TEL
2 - 1
AJA
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 0
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
AJA
4 - 1
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
ADO
0 - 3
PSV
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 1
ADO
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 0
HFC
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
ADO
0 - 2
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |