Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 2
DWS
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
MVV
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
ADO
4 - 0
FOR
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 2
ADO
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ADO
1 - 1
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
GAE
2 - 1
ADO
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ADO
3 - 2
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |