Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
ADO
0 - 1
NEC
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 4
ADO
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
ADO
0 - 2
XER
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 2
TWE
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |