Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
26%
20%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ENS
0 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
AJA
2 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FEY
9 - 4
AJA
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
AJA
5 - 0
PSV
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ADO
1 - 0
SIT
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 2
NAC
46%
23%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
ADO
0 - 1
MVV
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |