Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
30%
20%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
1 - 1
ENS
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ELI
3 - 3
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
FEY
7 - 1
ADO
76%
14%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ADO
0 - 2
VVV
54%
21%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 0
ADO
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ADO
2 - 1
MVV
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
TSV
3 - 5
ADO
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |