Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
Ajax vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 1
RKC
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BVO
0 - 5
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RBL
1 - 2
FCU
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
WOL
41%
25%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
FCU
24%
24%
53%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 2
FCU
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |