Ajax U19 vs Willem II U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ALK
2 - 5
AJA
33%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 3
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 1
SEV
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEC
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 3
ALK
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 3
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |