UEFA Youth League 1/32
Global 4-1
Ajax U19 vs PAOK U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 2
ZWO
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 5
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
PAO
0 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 0
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
ALK
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
PAO
0 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
PAO
0 - 0
PAK
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
PAK
1 - 1
PAO
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |