Ajax Lasnamäe vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TVM
1 - 0
AJA
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
TVM
9%
18%
72%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 0
AJA
85%
11%
5%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
FLO
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
TVM
8 - 0
AJA
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TRA
5 - 1
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 3
TRA
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 0
AJA
85%
11%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 2
TRA
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 0
TAM
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |