Ajax Lasnamäe vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
0 - 3
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KIV
3 - 3
AJA
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 2
LEV
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FLO
0 - 0
AJA
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 2
RAK
80%
13%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
KIV
48%
22%
30%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
FLO
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
RAK
1 - 4
PAR
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 3
TJK
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |