Cape Town Spurs vs Venda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
6º
4º
1
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 56 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 52 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 51 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 50 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 36 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 36 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 19 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 18 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
AJA
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
CHI
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 1
AJA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SSU
0 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
RKF
0 - 1
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Venda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFA
0 - 2
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
VFA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 0
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PCF
0 - 3
VFA
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 1
MAR
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |