Cape Town Spurs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 2
SAG
70%
19%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POL
2 - 3
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 2
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
PIR
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 0
FRE
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 5
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |