Cape Town Spurs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
COS
73%
19%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
AMA
4 - 0
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
FRE
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 3
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
FRE
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
PIR
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
FRE
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 0
BID
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
FRE
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |