Ajax Amateurs vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
15º
15º
30
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 76 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 65 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 56 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 35 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 28 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
DEM
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 2
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 4
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
62%
20%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
URK
2 - 0
DVS
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
TIE
4 - 2
URK
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 3
URK
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
URK
1 - 0
SVH
52%
21%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 3
URK
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |