Ajax Amateurs vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
ZUI
3 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DFS
1 - 2
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 2
EEM
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NSC
0 - 4
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
EXC
4 - 5
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ZUI
0 - 2
EXC
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DFS
3 - 1
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
APE
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 3
DFS
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |