Ajaccio vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 1
REI
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AUX
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 3
MPL
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
6 - 2
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
USB
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 1
VAN
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
VAN
1 - 1
MET
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
VAN
1 - 0
NÎM
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
VAN
1 - 0
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
VAN
0 - 0
SED
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |