Ajaccio vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
REI
1 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
MPL
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 2
AJA
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
ETG
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
REN
1 - 2
TRO
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 0
ASN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 1
PSG
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | -1 |