Ajaccio vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TFC
3 - 0
AJA
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
SOC
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
LEN
30%
29%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MET
2 - 0
AJA
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
MON
3 - 0
AJA
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 0
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
TRO
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 1
REN
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GIR
2 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
PSG
4 - 1
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |