Ligue 1 - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 0-4
Ajaccio vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 2
LHA
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIO
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
LHA
2 - 0
AJA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 1
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GIR
4 - 2
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 3
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REN
2 - 1
TFC
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 0
TFC
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |