Ajaccio vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 0
LHA
27%
29%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
MPL
2 - 0
AJA
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 0
SOC
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
CAN
1 - 0
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
ANG
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
LYO
2 - 1
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 0
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |