Ajaccio vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
NÎM
2 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 3
TRO
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
AJA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
ASB
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 1
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
RED
3 - 1
STL
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
NIC
3 - 0
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
RED
1 - 2
ASS
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
RED
2 - 2
FCG
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |