Ajaccio vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1969 |
STR
2 - 0
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
0 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
REN
0 - 1
AJA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAN
37%
22%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1969 |
ASS
3 - 1
AJA
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
RED
1 - 1
GIR
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
NÎM
1 - 3
RED
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
RED
3 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
SOC
0 - 3
RED
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
RED
3 - 4
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |