Ajaccio vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
MPL
1 - 2
AJA
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 0
DIJ
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
4 - 0
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MET
2 - 0
AJA
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ROD
1 - 1
ORL
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ORL
3 - 0
AUR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SAI
1 - 1
ORL
26%
26%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ORL
2 - 2
LES
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 0
ORL
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |