Ajaccio vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
MON
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
ASN
3 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
ASS
5 - 2
AJA
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
SED
48%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
MET
1 - 3
AJA
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
MAR
1 - 1
LYO
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
MAR
6 - 3
STR
73%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
RED
3 - 4
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1971 |
MAR
3 - 0
GIR
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
NIC
1 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |