Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
NAN
4 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
LMU
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 2
FCG
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
LEN
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 0
AJA
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
NIC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 1
LMU
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
38%
28%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |