Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
ESW
4 - 0
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 2
SED
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 1
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
AMI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
NIC
2 - 0
LMU
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
RED
1 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIC
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
ESW
2 - 2
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |