Ajaccio vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
AJA
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 1
CLE
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 1
AJA
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
QUE
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
BOU
5 - 4
AJA
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASN
53%
26%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 2
REI
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CLE
2 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 0
GAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |