Ajaccio vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
LUS
1 - 0
AJA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
AJA
1 - 2
STL
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
ESW
2 - 0
AJA
41%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 0
FCG
31%
28%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
ASN
0 - 0
ANG
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASN
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
ASN
0 - 0
FCM
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CAN
0 - 2
ASN
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
ASN
0 - 0
NIO
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |