Ajaccio vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
LYO
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REN
2 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
ETG
33%
28%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 0
REN
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 2
MPL
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 0
REI
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
MPL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MPL
2 - 1
SOC
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |