Ajaccio vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
VAL
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
AJA
46%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUX
4 - 1
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
ETG
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
MPL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MPL
2 - 2
AMI
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LYO
2 - 1
MPL
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MPL
4 - 0
REN
36%
28%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |