Ajaccio vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
VAN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SED
1 - 1
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
DIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
REI
1 - 3
AJA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
MPL
1 - 2
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
REI
0 - 4
MPL
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
MPL
0 - 0
USB
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
MPL
2 - 1
AMI
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
MPL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |