Ajaccio vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 1
AJA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
VAN
1 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 2
SED
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
DIJ
2 - 1
AJA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LIL
2 - 1
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
MON
35%
29%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |