Ajaccio vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
MON
20%
27%
53%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
REN
3 - 0
AJA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 3
LYO
16%
25%
60%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 0
AJA
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
GIR
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
REN
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 0
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
MON
22%
27%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GIR
3 - 3
MET
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |