Ajaccio vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 0
FCR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
2 - 1
AJA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 0
NÎM
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
GIR
2 - 1
AJA
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 0
SOC
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
MET
4 - 0
LYO
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
FCR
1 - 1
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
MET
1 - 2
SOC
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
0 - 0
MET
43%
29%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1969 |
MET
4 - 1
GIR
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |