Ajaccio vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
RED
1 - 0
AJA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
REN
5 - 0
AJA
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
MET
1 - 0
NAN
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
4 - 0
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
MET
0 - 1
SED
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SOC
5 - 2
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |