Ajaccio vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
SED
2 - 0
AJA
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 1
SOC
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
ANG
3 - 0
AJA
74%
15%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1967 |
AJA
2 - 0
REN
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1967 |
LYO
2 - 1
AJA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
MET
3 - 1
ASA
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
NIC
4 - 1
MET
68%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
MET
1 - 1
FCR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 2
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
MET
1 - 1
RED
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |