Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
MET
3 - 1
AJA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PFC
0 - 0
AJA
33%
26%
40%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 3
SOC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
BEZ
0 - 1
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LOR
21%
24%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOR
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |