Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 0
STL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
VAL
4 - 1
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
ASS
2 - 2
AJA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 2
LIL
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
LOR
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LOR
4 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 4
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
LOR
0 - 1
STR
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |