Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
73%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
LYO
2 - 1
AJA
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
AJA
0 - 0
NÎM
42%
26%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 1
AJA
61%
20%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 2
NAN
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
LIL
3 - 0
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
LIL
4 - 2
ANG
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASS
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |