Ajaccio vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 0
STR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
RED
4 - 1
AJA
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
MON
0 - 1
AJA
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
2 - 1
MET
50%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 1
LEN
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
LEN
4 - 1
ASA
58%
20%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
FCR
0 - 1
LEN
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
RED
3 - 2
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |