Ajaccio vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
LEN
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 0
AJA
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 2
AUX
25%
29%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
AJA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 2
FCG
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
FCG
3 - 1
BAS
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 1
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LHA
5 - 0
FCG
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |